Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 64 pts86%Champion
1st
86%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
8W/ 12G
90% confidence
9W/ 12G
99% confidence
10W/ 12G
Real Madrid
# 02 · 60 pts14%Champion
1st
14%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
10W/ 12G
90% confidence
10W/ 12G
99% confidence
11W/ 12G
Villarreal
# 03 · 51 pts94%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
94%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
6W/ 12G
90% confidence
6W/ 12G
99% confidence
7W/ 12G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 51 pts95%Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
95%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
6W/ 12G
90% confidence
6W/ 12G
99% confidence
7W/ 12G
Real Betis
# 05 · 43 pts80%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
8%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
5W/ 12G
90% confidence
6W/ 12G
99% confidence
7W/ 12G
Celta Vigo
# 06 · 40 pts78%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
6W/ 12G
90% confidence
7W/ 12G
99% confidence
8W/ 12G
Espanyol
# 07 · 36 pts10%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7W/ 12G
90% confidence
7W/ 12G
99% confidence
8W/ 12G
Athletic Club
# 08 · 35 pts10%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7W/ 12G
90% confidence
7W/ 12G
99% confidence
8W/ 12G
Real Sociedad
# 09 · 35 pts32%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7W/ 12G
90% confidence
7W/ 12G
99% confidence
8W/ 12G
Osasuna
# 10 · 33 pts19%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8W/ 12G
90% confidence
8W/ 12G
99% confidence
9W/ 12G
Getafe
# 11 · 32 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8W/ 12G
90% confidence
8W/ 12G
99% confidence
9W/ 12G
Sevilla
# 12 · 30 pts6%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
6%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 12G
90% confidence
4W/ 12G
99% confidence
4W/ 12G
Rayo Vallecano
# 13 · 30 pts3%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
9W/ 12G
90% confidence
9W/ 12G
99% confidence
10W/ 12G
Girona
# 14 · 30 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
5%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
9W/ 12G
90% confidence
9W/ 12G
99% confidence
10W/ 12G
Valencia
# 15 · 29 pts15%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
15%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 12G
90% confidence
4W/ 12G
99% confidence
5W/ 12G
Alaves
# 16 · 27 pts27%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
27%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 12G
90% confidence
5W/ 12G
99% confidence
5W/ 12G
Elche
# 17 · 26 pts30%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
30%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 12G
90% confidence
5W/ 12G
99% confidence
6W/ 12G
Mallorca
# 18 · 24 pts27%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
27%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 12G
90% confidence
6W/ 12G
99% confidence
6W/ 12G
Levante
# 19 · 21 pts86%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
86%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 12G
90% confidence
7W/ 12G
99% confidence
7W/ 12G
Oviedo
# 20 · 17 pts99%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 12G
90% confidence
8W/ 12G
99% confidence
9W/ 12G