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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 79 pts
97%
Champion
1st
97%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Real Madrid
# 02 · 70 pts
3%
Champion
1st
3%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Villarreal
# 03 · 61 pts
99%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 57 pts
98%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
98%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
1
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
Real Betis
# 05 · 46 pts
70%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
Celta Vigo
# 06 · 44 pts
58%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
Real Sociedad
# 07 · 42 pts
39%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Getafe
# 08 · 41 pts
16%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Osasuna
# 09 · 39 pts
12%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Athletic Club
# 10 · 38 pts
2%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Espanyol
# 11 · 38 pts
2%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Girona
# 12 · 38 pts
9%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Valencia
# 13 · 35 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
7%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
—
Rayo Vallecano
# 14 · 35 pts
10%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
10%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
Mallorca
# 15 · 34 pts
14%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
14%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
Sevilla
# 16 · 34 pts
42%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
42%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
Alaves
# 17 · 33 pts
21%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
21%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Elche
# 18 · 32 pts
42%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
42%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
Levante
# 19 · 29 pts
63%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
63%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
Oviedo
# 20 · 27 pts
93%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
93%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G