Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Real Madrid
# 01 · 12 pts53%Champions League
1st
19%
UCL
53%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 34G
90% confidence
18W/ 34G
99% confidence
20W/ 34G
Barcelona
# 02 · 10 pts49%Champions League
1st
17%
UCL
49%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 34G
90% confidence
19W/ 34G
99% confidence
20W/ 34G
Espanyol
# 03 · 10 pts35%Champions League
1st
9%
UCL
35%
REL
3%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 34G
90% confidence
19W/ 34G
99% confidence
20W/ 34G
Athletic Club
# 04 · 9 pts29%Champions League
1st
9%
UCL
29%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 34G
90% confidence
19W/ 34G
99% confidence
21W/ 34G
Getafe
# 05 · 9 pts38%Champions League
1st
10%
UCL
38%
REL
4%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 34G
90% confidence
19W/ 34G
99% confidence
21W/ 34G
Villarreal
# 06 · 7 pts25%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
25%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 34G
90% confidence
20W/ 34G
99% confidence
21W/ 34G
Alaves
# 07 · 7 pts23%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
23%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 34G
90% confidence
20W/ 34G
99% confidence
21W/ 34G
Osasuna
# 08 · 6 pts21%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
21%
REL
9%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 34G
90% confidence
20W/ 34G
99% confidence
22W/ 34G
Elche
# 09 · 6 pts20%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
20%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 34G
90% confidence
20W/ 34G
99% confidence
22W/ 34G
Atletico Madrid
# 10 · 5 pts17%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
17%
REL
12%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 34G
90% confidence
21W/ 34G
99% confidence
22W/ 34G
Real Betis
# 11 · 5 pts15%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
15%
REL
14%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 34G
90% confidence
21W/ 34G
99% confidence
22W/ 34G
Sevilla
# 12 · 4 pts11%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
11%
REL
14%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 34G
90% confidence
21W/ 34G
99% confidence
22W/ 34G
Rayo Vallecano
# 13 · 4 pts16%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
16%
REL
16%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 34G
90% confidence
21W/ 34G
99% confidence
22W/ 34G
Valencia
# 14 · 4 pts12%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
12%
REL
17%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 34G
90% confidence
21W/ 34G
99% confidence
22W/ 34G
Oviedo
# 15 · 3 pts7%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
7%
REL
25%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 34G
90% confidence
21W/ 34G
99% confidence
23W/ 34G
Celta Vigo
# 16 · 3 pts8%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
8%
REL
24%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 34G
90% confidence
21W/ 34G
99% confidence
23W/ 34G
Real Sociedad
# 17 · 2 pts9%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
9%
REL
24%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 34G
90% confidence
22W/ 34G
99% confidence
23W/ 34G
Levante
# 18 · 1 pts6%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
5%
REL
31%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
20W/ 34G
90% confidence
21W/ 34G
99% confidence
22W/ 34G
Mallorca
# 19 · 1 pts5%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
5%
REL
35%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 34G
90% confidence
22W/ 34G
99% confidence
23W/ 34G
Girona
# 20 · 1 pts4%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
4%
REL
39%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 34G
90% confidence
22W/ 34G
99% confidence
23W/ 34G