Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 19 pts75%Champions League
1st
35%
UCL
75%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16W/ 31G
90% confidence
16W/ 31G
99% confidence
17W/ 31G
Real Madrid
# 02 · 18 pts63%Champions League
1st
24%
UCL
63%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16W/ 31G
90% confidence
17W/ 31G
99% confidence
18W/ 31G
Villarreal
# 03 · 16 pts45%Champions League
1st
13%
UCL
45%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17W/ 31G
90% confidence
17W/ 31G
99% confidence
18W/ 31G
Elche
# 04 · 13 pts31%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
31%
REL
4%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 31G
90% confidence
18W/ 31G
99% confidence
19W/ 31G
Atletico Madrid
# 05 · 12 pts29%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
29%
REL
5%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
Real Betis
# 06 · 12 pts27%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
27%
REL
5%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
Espanyol
# 07 · 12 pts24%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
24%
REL
6%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
Getafe
# 08 · 11 pts19%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
19%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
Sevilla
# 09 · 10 pts17%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
17%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
Athletic Club
# 10 · 10 pts14%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
14%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
Alaves
# 11 · 8 pts9%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
9%
REL
16%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
20W/ 31G
99% confidence
21W/ 31G
Valencia
# 12 · 8 pts10%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
10%
REL
16%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
20W/ 31G
99% confidence
21W/ 31G
Osasuna
# 13 · 7 pts10%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
9%
REL
15%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
18W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
Oviedo
# 14 · 6 pts6%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
6%
REL
26%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 31G
90% confidence
21W/ 31G
99% confidence
22W/ 31G
Levante
# 15 · 5 pts7%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
5%
REL
21%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
Rayo Vallecano
# 16 · 5 pts6%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
6%
REL
26%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
Real Sociedad
# 17 · 5 pts7%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
5%
REL
25%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
Mallorca
# 18 · 5 pts6%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
4%
REL
29%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
Celta Vigo
# 19 · 5 pts6%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
4%
REL
30%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
Girona
# 20 · 3 pts2%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
1%
REL
51%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
20W/ 31G
90% confidence
20W/ 31G
99% confidence
21W/ 31G