Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Real Madrid
# 01 · 24 pts90%Champions League
1st
51%
UCL
90%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15W/ 29G
90% confidence
15W/ 29G
99% confidence
16W/ 29G
Barcelona
# 02 · 22 pts72%Champions League
1st
22%
UCL
72%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15W/ 29G
90% confidence
16W/ 29G
99% confidence
17W/ 29G
Villarreal
# 03 · 17 pts61%Champions League
1st
10%
UCL
61%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17W/ 29G
90% confidence
18W/ 29G
99% confidence
18W/ 29G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 16 pts47%Champions League
1st
7%
UCL
47%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17W/ 29G
90% confidence
18W/ 29G
99% confidence
19W/ 29G
Real Betis
# 05 · 16 pts43%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
43%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17W/ 29G
90% confidence
18W/ 29G
99% confidence
19W/ 29G
Espanyol
# 06 · 15 pts13%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
12%
REL
4%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16W/ 29G
90% confidence
17W/ 29G
99% confidence
17W/ 29G
Athletic Club
# 07 · 14 pts14%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
10%
REL
2%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16W/ 29G
90% confidence
17W/ 29G
99% confidence
18W/ 29G
Elche
# 08 · 14 pts22%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
22%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 29G
90% confidence
19W/ 29G
99% confidence
19W/ 29G
Sevilla
# 09 · 13 pts8%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
5%
REL
5%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
17W/ 29G
90% confidence
17W/ 29G
99% confidence
18W/ 29G
Alaves
# 10 · 12 pts12%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
8%
REL
3%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
17W/ 29G
90% confidence
18W/ 29G
99% confidence
18W/ 29G
Rayo Vallecano
# 11 · 11 pts19%Europa League
1st
2%
UCL
16%
REL
2%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
17W/ 29G
90% confidence
18W/ 29G
99% confidence
19W/ 29G
Getafe
# 12 · 11 pts5%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
9%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
17W/ 29G
90% confidence
18W/ 29G
99% confidence
19W/ 29G
Osasuna
# 13 · 10 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
16%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
17W/ 29G
90% confidence
17W/ 29G
99% confidence
18W/ 29G
Valencia
# 14 · 9 pts1%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
25%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
18W/ 29G
90% confidence
19W/ 29G
99% confidence
19W/ 29G
Levante
# 15 · 8 pts10%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
6%
REL
7%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
18W/ 29G
90% confidence
19W/ 29G
99% confidence
20W/ 29G
Mallorca
# 16 · 8 pts5%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
3%
REL
11%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
18W/ 29G
90% confidence
19W/ 29G
99% confidence
20W/ 29G
Celta Vigo
# 17 · 7 pts1%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
38%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
19W/ 29G
90% confidence
19W/ 29G
99% confidence
20W/ 29G
Oviedo
# 18 · 6 pts69%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
69%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 29G
90% confidence
12W/ 29G
99% confidence
13W/ 29G
Real Sociedad
# 19 · 6 pts35%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
35%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 29G
90% confidence
12W/ 29G
99% confidence
13W/ 29G
Girona
# 20 · 6 pts73%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
73%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 29G
90% confidence
12W/ 29G
99% confidence
13W/ 29G