ProbFut
LaLiga · 2026/27 · # 06

Alaves

Pts

11

MP

7

W

3

GD

+5

Primary Objective

Champion

Wins needed to finish in 1st place.
5%

Probability — Alaves

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
26Wins/ 31
90% confidence
31Wins/ 31
99% confidence
31Wins/ 31

ProbFut AI Analysis

Alaves sit in 6th place after a 0-0 draw against Athletic Club, collecting 11 points from 7 matches. Simulations give los Babazorros a 21% chance of reaching the Champions League, a goal that would require 20 wins from their remaining 31 fixtures at a 75% confidence threshold. The Basque outfit's next test will be against Atletico Madrid on October 10, a demanding home clash to stay in the European spots.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Alaves's chances of achieving Champion?
Alaves has a 4.6% probability of achieving Champion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Alaves need for Champion?
Alaves needs 31 wins in 31 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.