ProbFut
LaLiga · 2026/27 · # 03

Atletico Madrid

Pts

4

MP

2

W

1

GD

+2

Primary Objective

Champions League

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.
21%

Probability — Atletico Madrid

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
26Wins/ 36
90% confidence
27Wins/ 36
99% confidence
31Wins/ 36

ProbFut AI Analysis

Atletico Madrid have accumulated 4 points after a 2-2 draw with Villarreal and occupy 3rd place in the standings. Atleti hold a 21% chance of Champions League qualification, a goal that requires 26 wins across the remaining 36 matchdays under the 75% simulation model. The team face a demanding clash against leaders Sevilla on August 29.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Atletico Madrid's chances of achieving Champions League?
Atletico Madrid has a 21.0% probability of achieving Champions League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Atletico Madrid need for Champions League?
Atletico Madrid needs 27 wins in 36 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.