ProbFut
LaLiga · 2026/27 · # 04

Real Madrid

Pts

15

MP

7

W

5

GD

+10

What does the team need?

Primary Objective

Champions League

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.
75% confidence
19Wins
90% confidence
23Wins
99% confidence
23Wins
Europa League
Wins needed to qualify for the Europa League.14%
17Wins
75% confidence
Conference League
Wins needed to qualify for the Conference League.6%
16Wins
75% confidence

ProbFut AI Analysis

Real Madrid suffered a 2-1 derby defeat against Atletico Madrid, leaving them in 4th place on 15 points and losing ground in the title race. La Casa Blanca retain a 36% chance of securing a Champions League ticket and a 10% shot at the league title, requiring 19 wins from their remaining 31 fixtures to secure European football at 75% confidence. The Madrid outfit will aim to respond at the Santiago Bernabéu against Villarreal on October 10.

Remaining Fixtures

RDOpponentW / D / LExp. Pts
8(VIL)
1.70
9(SEV)
1.70
10(BAR)
0.97
11(SAN)
1.40
12(VAL)
1.46