ProbFut
LaLiga · 2026/27 · # 03

Atletico Madrid

Pts

4

MP

2

W

1

GD

+2

Primary Objective

Europa League

Wins needed to qualify for the Europa League.
10%

Probability — Atletico Madrid

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
23Wins/ 36
90% confidence
24Wins/ 36
99% confidence
27Wins/ 36

ProbFut AI Analysis

Atletico Madrid have accumulated 4 points after a 2-2 draw with Villarreal and occupy 3rd place in the standings. Atleti hold a 21% chance of Champions League qualification, a goal that requires 26 wins across the remaining 36 matchdays under the 75% simulation model. The team face a demanding clash against leaders Sevilla on August 29.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Atletico Madrid's chances of achieving Europa League?
Atletico Madrid has a 10.2% probability of achieving Europa League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Atletico Madrid need for Europa League?
Atletico Madrid needs 24 wins in 36 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.