Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 13
Estac Troyes
Pts
1
MP
1
W
0
GD
0
Primary Objective
Escape the Playoffs
Wins needed to stay in Ligue 1.6%
Probability — Estac Troyes
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
8Wins/ 33
90% confidence
16Wins/ 33
99% confidence
16Wins/ 33
ProbFut AI Analysis
Estac Troyes shared the points in a 0-0 draw with Paris FC on the opening weekend. Simulations give them a 12% probability of relegation, setting the safety threshold at 7 wins across the remaining 33 games in 75% of models. An upcoming trip to Lorient on August 29 will test their resilience away from home.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Estac Troyes's chances of achieving Escape the Playoffs?
Estac Troyes has a 5.8% probability of achieving Escape the Playoffs, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Estac Troyes need for Escape the Playoffs?
Estac Troyes needs 16 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.