Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 16
Estac Troyes
Pts
4
MP
5
W
1
GD
-7
Primary Objective
Escape the Playoffs
Wins needed to stay in Ligue 1.7%
Probability — Estac Troyes
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 29
90% confidence
14Wins/ 29
99% confidence
14Wins/ 29
ProbFut AI Analysis
Beaten 2-0 away to Angers, Estac Troyes dropped to 16th after suffering a 3rd consecutive defeat. The Troyes side have seen their relegation probability climb to 17% and will need at least 9 wins from the remaining 29 games to secure top-flight safety with 75% certainty. Hosting Marseille on October 11, 2026 represents a crucial opportunity to stop the rot.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Estac Troyes's chances of achieving Escape the Playoffs?
Estac Troyes has a 7.2% probability of achieving Escape the Playoffs, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Estac Troyes need for Escape the Playoffs?
Estac Troyes needs 14 wins in 29 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.