ProbFut
Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 01

Marseille

Pts

3

MP

1

W

1

GD

+4

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
9%

Probability — Marseille

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
6Wins/ 33
90% confidence
8Wins/ 33
99% confidence
16Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

Sitting top of the table after a clinical 4-0 win against Strasbourg, Marseille signaled their ambitions immediately. Les Olympiens hold a 25% chance of Champions League qualification, requiring an estimated 24 wins from their remaining 33 matches to lock it in with 75% confidence. A marquee clash against Monaco on August 30 will serve as an early top-of-the-table test.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Marseille's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Marseille has a 9.4% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Marseille need for Escape Relegation?
Marseille needs 8 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.