
Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 01
Marseille
Pts
3
MP
1
W
1
GD
+4
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.9%
Probability — Marseille
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
6Wins/ 33
90% confidence
8Wins/ 33
99% confidence
16Wins/ 33
ProbFut AI Analysis
Sitting top of the table after a clinical 4-0 win against Strasbourg, Marseille signaled their ambitions immediately. Les Olympiens hold a 25% chance of Champions League qualification, requiring an estimated 24 wins from their remaining 33 matches to lock it in with 75% confidence. A marquee clash against Monaco on August 30 will serve as an early top-of-the-table test.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Marseille's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Marseille has a 9.4% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Marseille need for Escape Relegation?
Marseille needs 8 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.