Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 17
Marseille
Pts
3
MP
5
W
1
GD
-1
Primary Objective
Escape the Playoffs
Wins needed to stay in Ligue 1.7%
Probability — Marseille
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
11Wins/ 29
90% confidence
11Wins/ 29
99% confidence
14Wins/ 29
ProbFut AI Analysis
Beaten 2-1 at home in Le Classique by Paris Saint Germain, Marseille suffered a 4th straight defeat and languish in 17th place. OM's relegation risk has risen to 18%, and the Phocaeans will require 9 wins from the remaining 29 fixtures to pull clear of danger at a 75% confidence level. An away trip to Estac Troyes on October 11, 2026 offers an opportunity to halt this downward spiral.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Marseille's chances of achieving Escape the Playoffs?
Marseille has a 7.1% probability of achieving Escape the Playoffs, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Marseille need for Escape the Playoffs?
Marseille needs 11 wins in 29 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.