Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 05
Monaco
Pts
3
MP
1
W
1
GD
+1
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.9%
Probability — Monaco
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
6Wins/ 33
90% confidence
8Wins/ 33
99% confidence
8Wins/ 33
ProbFut AI Analysis
Monaco did what was required with a 1-0 victory over Le Havre on the opening weekend. Given a 25% chance of returning to the Champions League, l'ASM must target 24 wins across their remaining 33 fixtures to achieve that goal with 75% confidence. Hosting Marseille on August 30 will offer a valuable measuring stick.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Monaco's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Monaco has a 9.2% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Monaco need for Escape Relegation?
Monaco needs 8 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.