ProbFut
Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 01

Monaco

Pts

13

MP

5

W

4

GD

+5

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
3%

Probability — Monaco

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
6Wins/ 29
90% confidence
7Wins/ 29
99% confidence
14Wins/ 29

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 2-1 victory over Lens cemented Monaco's spot at the top of the table with 13 points from 5 matches. ASM now boast a 40% probability of Champions League qualification, targeting 17 wins from their remaining 29 games to secure that goal with 75% certainty. Les Monégasques host Toulouse on October 10, 2026, looking to keep up their blistering pace at the Ligue 1 summit.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Monaco's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Monaco has a 3.2% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Monaco need for Escape Relegation?
Monaco needs 7 wins in 29 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.