Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 01
Monaco
Pts
13
MP
5
W
4
GD
+5
Primary Objective
Escape the Playoffs
Wins needed to stay in Ligue 1.3%
Probability — Monaco
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
7Wins/ 29
90% confidence
14Wins/ 29
99% confidence
14Wins/ 29
ProbFut AI Analysis
A 2-1 victory over Lens cemented Monaco's spot at the top of the table with 13 points from 5 matches. ASM now boast a 40% probability of Champions League qualification, targeting 17 wins from their remaining 29 games to secure that goal with 75% certainty. Les Monégasques host Toulouse on October 10, 2026, looking to keep up their blistering pace at the Ligue 1 summit.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Monaco's chances of achieving Escape the Playoffs?
Monaco has a 2.6% probability of achieving Escape the Playoffs, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Monaco need for Escape the Playoffs?
Monaco needs 14 wins in 29 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.