Premier League · 2026/27 · # 02
Arsenal
Pts
12
MP
5
W
4
GD
+4
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.6%
Probability — Arsenal
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
8Wins/ 33
90% confidence
16Wins/ 33
99% confidence
16Wins/ 33
ProbFut AI Analysis
Following a 3-0 setback against Brighton, Arsenal remain second in the table on 12 points. To secure Champions League qualification at a 75% confidence level, the Gunners need 19 wins from their remaining 33 fixtures to maintain their top-four pace. Mikel Arteta's squad will look to get back on track when they host Leeds on 10 October 2026.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Arsenal's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Arsenal has a 6.1% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Arsenal need for Escape Relegation?
Arsenal needs 16 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.