ProbFut
Serie A · 2026/27 · # 05

AC Milan

Pts

11

MP

5

W

3

GD

+6

Primary Objective

Champions League

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.
30%

Probability — AC Milan

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
21Wins/ 33
90% confidence
22Wins/ 33
99% confidence
24Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

A commanding 3-0 win over Lecce lifts AC Milan into 5th place with 11 points, keeping the team unbeaten after 5 matches. With 33 games left to play, the Rossoneri have a 30% chance of reaching the Champions League, an objective statistical models estimate will require 21 wins at a 75% confidence level. Their next test comes away against Sassuolo on October 11, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are AC Milan's chances of achieving Champions League?
AC Milan has a 29.9% probability of achieving Champions League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does AC Milan need for Champions League?
AC Milan needs 22 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.