ProbFut
Serie A · 2026/27 · # 05

AC Milan

Pts

11

MP

5

W

3

GD

+6

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
7%

Probability — AC Milan

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
9Wins/ 33
90% confidence
9Wins/ 33
99% confidence
12Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

A commanding 3-0 win over Lecce lifts AC Milan into 5th place with 11 points, keeping the team unbeaten after 5 matches. With 33 games left to play, the Rossoneri have a 30% chance of reaching the Champions League, an objective statistical models estimate will require 21 wins at a 75% confidence level. Their next test comes away against Sassuolo on October 11, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are AC Milan's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
AC Milan has a 7.2% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does AC Milan need for Escape Relegation?
AC Milan needs 9 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.