ProbFut
Serie A · 2026/27 · # 11

Atalanta

Pts

6

MP

5

W

2

GD

-2

Primary Objective

Champions League

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.
16%

Probability — Atalanta

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
23Wins/ 33
90% confidence
24Wins/ 33
99% confidence
28Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 2-0 defeat away at Juventus marks a third consecutive loss for Atalanta, who have slipped to 11th place on 6 points. Simulations give La Dea a 16% chance of Champions League qualification, a goal that demands a sharp turnaround and a target of 23 wins from 33 matches to reach 75% confidence. An opportunity to bounce back comes on October 12, 2026 at home against Venezia.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Atalanta's chances of achieving Champions League?
Atalanta has a 15.5% probability of achieving Champions League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Atalanta need for Champions League?
Atalanta needs 24 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.