ProbFut
Serie A · 2026/27 · # 11

Atalanta

Pts

6

MP

5

W

2

GD

-2

Primary Objective

Conference League

Wins needed to qualify for the Conference League.
5%

Probability — Atalanta

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
20Wins/ 33
90% confidence
20Wins/ 33
99% confidence
22Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 2-0 defeat away at Juventus marks a third consecutive loss for Atalanta, who have slipped to 11th place on 6 points. Simulations give La Dea a 16% chance of Champions League qualification, a goal that demands a sharp turnaround and a target of 23 wins from 33 matches to reach 75% confidence. An opportunity to bounce back comes on October 12, 2026 at home against Venezia.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Atalanta's chances of achieving Conference League?
Atalanta has a 4.9% probability of achieving Conference League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Atalanta need for Conference League?
Atalanta needs 20 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.