ProbFut
Serie A · 2026/27 · # 17

Fiorentina

Pts

4

MP

5

W

1

GD

-6

Primary Objective

Champion

Wins needed to finish in 1st place.
2%

Probability — Fiorentina

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
30Wins/ 33
90% confidence
33Wins/ 33
99% confidence
—

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 1-1 draw against Napoli took Fiorentina to 4 points, leaving the side in 17th place with a -6 goal difference. Simulations place their relegation probability at 21%, showing that La Viola need to target around 11 wins from the 33 remaining rounds to guarantee safety at a 75% confidence level. Up next is a trip to face Genoa on October 10, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Fiorentina's chances of achieving Champion?
Fiorentina has a 1.9% probability of achieving Champion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Fiorentina need for Champion?
Fiorentina needs 33 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.