Serie A · 2026/27 · # 17
Fiorentina
Pts
4
MP
5
W
1
GD
-6
Primary Objective
Conference League
Wins needed to qualify for the Conference League.5%
Probability — Fiorentina
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
20Wins/ 33
90% confidence
22Wins/ 33
99% confidence
22Wins/ 33
ProbFut AI Analysis
A 1-1 draw against Napoli took Fiorentina to 4 points, leaving the side in 17th place with a -6 goal difference. Simulations place their relegation probability at 21%, showing that La Viola need to target around 11 wins from the 33 remaining rounds to guarantee safety at a 75% confidence level. Up next is a trip to face Genoa on October 10, 2026.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Fiorentina's chances of achieving Conference League?
Fiorentina has a 4.5% probability of achieving Conference League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Fiorentina need for Conference League?
Fiorentina needs 22 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.