ProbFut
Serie A · 2026/27 · # 19

Genoa

Pts

1

MP

5

W

0

GD

-7

Primary Objective

Europa League

Wins needed to qualify for the Europa League.
6%

Probability — Genoa

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
22Wins/ 33
90% confidence
24Wins/ 33
99% confidence
24Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 2-1 defeat away at Parma leaves Genoa second from bottom with just 1 point and 4 losses from 5 games. Il Grifone see their relegation probability climb to 30%, with projections indicating at least 12 wins from the remaining 33 matches will be needed to ensure safety at a 75% confidence level. The Ligurian outfit will seek a turning point at home against Fiorentina on October 10, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Genoa's chances of achieving Europa League?
Genoa has a 6.0% probability of achieving Europa League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Genoa need for Europa League?
Genoa needs 24 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.