ProbFut
Serie A · 2026/27 · # 16

Monza

Pts

4

MP

5

W

1

GD

-4

Primary Objective

Europa League

Wins needed to qualify for the Europa League.
8%

Probability — Monza

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
21Wins/ 33
90% confidence
22Wins/ 33
99% confidence
24Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 2-1 home victory over Sassuolo handed Monza their first league win of the season, lifting them to 16th place on 4 points. The result lowers their relegation risk to 19%, with simulations indicating 11 wins from the remaining 33 fixtures are required to guarantee top-flight survival at a 75% confidence level. Monza face a tough test away against Lazio on October 11, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Monza's chances of achieving Europa League?
Monza has a 8.5% probability of achieving Europa League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Monza need for Europa League?
Monza needs 22 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.