ProbFut
Serie A · 2026/27 · # 16

Monza

Pts

4

MP

5

W

1

GD

-4

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
19%

Probability — Monza

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
11Wins/ 33
90% confidence
12Wins/ 33
99% confidence
16Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 2-1 home victory over Sassuolo handed Monza their first league win of the season, lifting them to 16th place on 4 points. The result lowers their relegation risk to 19%, with simulations indicating 11 wins from the remaining 33 fixtures are required to guarantee top-flight survival at a 75% confidence level. Monza face a tough test away against Lazio on October 11, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Monza's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Monza has a 19.2% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Monza need for Escape Relegation?
Monza needs 12 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.