ProbFut
Serie A · 2026/27 · # 09

Napoli

Pts

7

MP

5

W

2

GD

+1

Primary Objective

Champion

Wins needed to finish in 1st place.
4%

Probability — Napoli

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
29Wins/ 33
90% confidence
30Wins/ 33
99% confidence
33Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 1-1 draw at the Franchi against Fiorentina leaves Napoli in 9th place with 7 points after 5 rounds. Gli Azzurri currently have a 20% chance of a top-four Champions League finish, a target for which the Monte Carlo model requires 23 wins from the remaining 33 matchdays at a 75% confidence level. Their path to redemption continues at home on October 10, 2026 against Frosinone.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Napoli's chances of achieving Champion?
Napoli has a 4.4% probability of achieving Champion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Napoli need for Champion?
Napoli needs 30 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.