Serie A · 2026/27 · # 09
Napoli
Pts
7
MP
5
W
2
GD
+1
Primary Objective
Conference League
Wins needed to qualify for the Conference League.5%
Probability — Napoli
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
19Wins/ 33
90% confidence
20Wins/ 33
99% confidence
22Wins/ 33
ProbFut AI Analysis
A 1-1 draw at the Franchi against Fiorentina leaves Napoli in 9th place with 7 points after 5 rounds. Gli Azzurri currently have a 20% chance of a top-four Champions League finish, a target for which the Monte Carlo model requires 23 wins from the remaining 33 matchdays at a 75% confidence level. Their path to redemption continues at home on October 10, 2026 against Frosinone.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Napoli's chances of achieving Conference League?
Napoli has a 5.2% probability of achieving Conference League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Napoli need for Conference League?
Napoli needs 20 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.