ProbFut
Serie A · 2026/27 · # 15

Parma

Pts

4

MP

5

W

1

GD

-3

Primary Objective

Conference League

Wins needed to qualify for the Conference League.
5%

Probability — Parma

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
20Wins/ 33
90% confidence
22Wins/ 33
99% confidence
22Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 2-1 home victory over Genoa lifts Parma to 4 points and up to 15th place. The win reduces their relegation probability to 21%, mapping out a path that requires 11 wins from the remaining 33 matches to lock down Serie A survival at 75% confidence. The Crociati face a demanding trip to play Inter on October 10, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Parma's chances of achieving Conference League?
Parma has a 4.5% probability of achieving Conference League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Parma need for Conference League?
Parma needs 22 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.