ProbFut
Serie A · 2026/27 · # 15

Parma

Pts

4

MP

5

W

1

GD

-3

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
21%

Probability — Parma

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
11Wins/ 33
90% confidence
12Wins/ 33
99% confidence
16Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 2-1 home victory over Genoa lifts Parma to 4 points and up to 15th place. The win reduces their relegation probability to 21%, mapping out a path that requires 11 wins from the remaining 33 matches to lock down Serie A survival at 75% confidence. The Crociati face a demanding trip to play Inter on October 10, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Parma's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Parma has a 20.6% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Parma need for Escape Relegation?
Parma needs 12 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.