Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Real Madrid
# 01 · 30 pts75%Champion
1st
75%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
19W/ 27G
90% confidence
19W/ 27G
99% confidence
21W/ 27G
Barcelona
# 02 · 25 pts97%Champions League
1st
18%
UCL
97%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15W/ 27G
90% confidence
16W/ 27G
99% confidence
17W/ 27G
Villarreal
# 03 · 23 pts89%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
89%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16W/ 27G
90% confidence
17W/ 27G
99% confidence
18W/ 27G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 22 pts84%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
84%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16W/ 27G
90% confidence
17W/ 27G
99% confidence
18W/ 27G
Real Betis
# 05 · 19 pts60%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
23%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14W/ 27G
90% confidence
15W/ 27G
99% confidence
16W/ 27G
Espanyol
# 06 · 18 pts23%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15W/ 27G
90% confidence
15W/ 27G
99% confidence
16W/ 27G
Getafe
# 07 · 17 pts22%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15W/ 27G
90% confidence
16W/ 27G
99% confidence
17W/ 27G
Alaves
# 08 · 15 pts8%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
15W/ 27G
90% confidence
15W/ 27G
99% confidence
16W/ 27G
Rayo Vallecano
# 09 · 14 pts20%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
2%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16W/ 27G
90% confidence
17W/ 27G
99% confidence
18W/ 27G
Athletic Club
# 10 · 14 pts5%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
3%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
15W/ 27G
90% confidence
16W/ 27G
99% confidence
17W/ 27G
Elche
# 11 · 14 pts29%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16W/ 27G
90% confidence
17W/ 27G
99% confidence
18W/ 27G
Sevilla
# 12 · 13 pts5%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
15W/ 27G
90% confidence
16W/ 27G
99% confidence
17W/ 27G
Celta Vigo
# 13 · 13 pts3%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
3%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
15W/ 27G
90% confidence
16W/ 27G
99% confidence
17W/ 27G
Real Sociedad
# 14 · 12 pts3%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
7%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
16W/ 27G
90% confidence
16W/ 27G
99% confidence
17W/ 27G
Osasuna
# 15 · 11 pts10%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
10%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 27G
90% confidence
10W/ 27G
99% confidence
10W/ 27G
Levante
# 16 · 9 pts23%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
23%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 27G
90% confidence
10W/ 27G
99% confidence
11W/ 27G
Mallorca
# 17 · 9 pts27%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
27%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 27G
90% confidence
10W/ 27G
99% confidence
11W/ 27G
Valencia
# 18 · 9 pts37%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
37%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 27G
90% confidence
10W/ 27G
99% confidence
11W/ 27G
Oviedo
# 19 · 8 pts91%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
91%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 27G
90% confidence
11W/ 27G
99% confidence
11W/ 27G
Girona
# 20 · 7 pts94%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
94%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 27G
90% confidence
11W/ 27G
99% confidence
12W/ 27G