Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Real Madrid
# 01 · 31 pts56%Champion
1st
56%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
19W/ 26G
90% confidence
19W/ 26G
99% confidence
21W/ 26G
Barcelona
# 02 · 28 pts28%Champion
1st
28%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
20W/ 26G
90% confidence
20W/ 26G
99% confidence
22W/ 26G
Villarreal
# 03 · 26 pts98%Champions League
1st
13%
UCL
98%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
17W/ 26G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 25 pts90%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
90%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
17W/ 26G
Real Betis
# 05 · 20 pts74%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
12%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13W/ 26G
90% confidence
14W/ 26G
99% confidence
15W/ 26G
Espanyol
# 06 · 18 pts16%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14W/ 26G
90% confidence
15W/ 26G
99% confidence
16W/ 26G
Athletic Club
# 07 · 17 pts12%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13W/ 26G
90% confidence
14W/ 26G
99% confidence
15W/ 26G
Getafe
# 08 · 17 pts24%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14W/ 26G
90% confidence
15W/ 26G
99% confidence
16W/ 26G
Sevilla
# 09 · 16 pts14%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15W/ 26G
90% confidence
15W/ 26G
99% confidence
16W/ 26G
Alaves
# 10 · 15 pts8%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14W/ 26G
90% confidence
15W/ 26G
99% confidence
15W/ 26G
Rayo Vallecano
# 11 · 15 pts9%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
2%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14W/ 26G
90% confidence
15W/ 26G
99% confidence
15W/ 26G
Elche
# 12 · 15 pts24%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
17W/ 26G
Real Sociedad
# 13 · 13 pts4%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
17W/ 26G
Celta Vigo
# 14 · 13 pts5%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
15W/ 26G
90% confidence
15W/ 26G
99% confidence
16W/ 26G
Mallorca
# 15 · 12 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
10%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
15W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
16W/ 26G
Osasuna
# 16 · 11 pts13%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
13%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 26G
90% confidence
10W/ 26G
99% confidence
10W/ 26G
Valencia
# 17 · 10 pts46%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
46%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 26G
90% confidence
10W/ 26G
99% confidence
11W/ 26G
Girona
# 18 · 10 pts85%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
85%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 26G
90% confidence
10W/ 26G
99% confidence
11W/ 26G
Levante
# 19 · 9 pts36%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
36%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 26G
90% confidence
10W/ 26G
99% confidence
11W/ 26G
Oviedo
# 20 · 8 pts96%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
96%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 26G
90% confidence
11W/ 26G
99% confidence
11W/ 26G