Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 43 pts81%Champion
1st
81%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
15W/ 21G
90% confidence
16W/ 21G
99% confidence
17W/ 21G
Real Madrid
# 02 · 39 pts98%Champions League
1st
11%
UCL
98%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
11W/ 21G
90% confidence
12W/ 21G
99% confidence
13W/ 21G
Villarreal
# 03 · 38 pts94%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
94%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
11W/ 21G
90% confidence
12W/ 21G
99% confidence
13W/ 21G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 37 pts93%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
93%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
12W/ 21G
90% confidence
12W/ 21G
99% confidence
14W/ 21G
Espanyol
# 05 · 33 pts76%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
9%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10W/ 21G
90% confidence
10W/ 21G
99% confidence
11W/ 21G
Real Betis
# 06 · 28 pts72%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
6%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
11W/ 21G
90% confidence
12W/ 21G
99% confidence
13W/ 21G
Athletic Club
# 07 · 23 pts4%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12W/ 21G
90% confidence
12W/ 21G
99% confidence
13W/ 21G
Celta Vigo
# 08 · 23 pts27%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12W/ 21G
90% confidence
12W/ 21G
99% confidence
13W/ 21G
Elche
# 09 · 22 pts30%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12W/ 21G
90% confidence
13W/ 21G
99% confidence
13W/ 21G
Sevilla
# 10 · 20 pts6%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13W/ 21G
90% confidence
13W/ 21G
99% confidence
14W/ 21G
Getafe
# 11 · 20 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13W/ 21G
90% confidence
13W/ 21G
99% confidence
14W/ 21G
Osasuna
# 12 · 18 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13W/ 21G
90% confidence
14W/ 21G
99% confidence
15W/ 21G
Alaves
# 13 · 18 pts8%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
8%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 21G
90% confidence
7W/ 21G
99% confidence
8W/ 21G
Mallorca
# 14 · 18 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13W/ 21G
90% confidence
14W/ 21G
99% confidence
15W/ 21G
Rayo Vallecano
# 15 · 18 pts8%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
8%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 21G
90% confidence
7W/ 21G
99% confidence
8W/ 21G
Real Sociedad
# 16 · 17 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
5%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14W/ 21G
90% confidence
14W/ 21G
99% confidence
15W/ 21G
Valencia
# 17 · 16 pts25%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
25%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 21G
90% confidence
8W/ 21G
99% confidence
8W/ 21G
Girona
# 18 · 15 pts70%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
70%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 21G
90% confidence
8W/ 21G
99% confidence
9W/ 21G
Oviedo
# 19 · 11 pts99%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
99%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 21G
90% confidence
9W/ 21G
99% confidence
10W/ 21G
Levante
# 20 · 10 pts73%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
73%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 21G
90% confidence
10W/ 21G
99% confidence
10W/ 21G