Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 46 pts84%Champion
1st
84%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
15W/ 20G
90% confidence
15W/ 20G
99% confidence
16W/ 20G
Real Madrid
# 02 · 42 pts11%Champion
1st
11%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
16W/ 20G
90% confidence
16W/ 20G
99% confidence
18W/ 20G
Villarreal
# 03 · 41 pts5%Champion
1st
5%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
16W/ 20G
90% confidence
17W/ 20G
99% confidence
18W/ 20G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 38 pts96%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
96%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
11W/ 20G
90% confidence
11W/ 20G
99% confidence
13W/ 20G
Espanyol
# 05 · 33 pts73%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
9W/ 20G
90% confidence
10W/ 20G
99% confidence
11W/ 20G
Real Betis
# 06 · 28 pts60%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
11W/ 20G
90% confidence
12W/ 20G
99% confidence
13W/ 20G
Celta Vigo
# 07 · 26 pts48%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12W/ 20G
90% confidence
12W/ 20G
99% confidence
13W/ 20G
Athletic Club
# 08 · 24 pts7%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11W/ 20G
90% confidence
11W/ 20G
99% confidence
13W/ 20G
Elche
# 09 · 22 pts13%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12W/ 20G
90% confidence
12W/ 20G
99% confidence
13W/ 20G
Getafe
# 10 · 21 pts3%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12W/ 20G
90% confidence
12W/ 20G
99% confidence
14W/ 20G
Sevilla
# 11 · 20 pts3%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12W/ 20G
90% confidence
13W/ 20G
99% confidence
14W/ 20G
Osasuna
# 12 · 19 pts9%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
9%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 20G
90% confidence
7W/ 20G
99% confidence
7W/ 20G
Alaves
# 13 · 19 pts14%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
14%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 20G
90% confidence
7W/ 20G
99% confidence
7W/ 20G
Rayo Vallecano
# 14 · 19 pts13%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
13%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 20G
90% confidence
7W/ 20G
99% confidence
7W/ 20G
Real Sociedad
# 15 · 18 pts3%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13W/ 20G
90% confidence
13W/ 20G
99% confidence
15W/ 20G
Mallorca
# 16 · 18 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
12%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13W/ 20G
90% confidence
13W/ 20G
99% confidence
15W/ 20G
Girona
# 17 · 18 pts48%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
48%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 20G
90% confidence
7W/ 20G
99% confidence
8W/ 20G
Valencia
# 18 · 16 pts37%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
37%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 20G
90% confidence
8W/ 20G
99% confidence
8W/ 20G
Levante
# 19 · 13 pts57%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
57%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 20G
90% confidence
9W/ 20G
99% confidence
9W/ 20G
Oviedo
# 20 · 12 pts99%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 20G
90% confidence
9W/ 20G
99% confidence
10W/ 20G