Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Villarreal
# 01 · 6 pts34%Champions League
1st
10%
UCL
34%
REL
5%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 36G
90% confidence
20W/ 36G
99% confidence
22W/ 36G
Barcelona
# 02 · 6 pts36%Champions League
1st
12%
UCL
36%
REL
5%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 36G
90% confidence
20W/ 36G
99% confidence
22W/ 36G
Real Madrid
# 03 · 6 pts38%Champions League
1st
12%
UCL
38%
REL
5%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 36G
90% confidence
20W/ 36G
99% confidence
22W/ 36G
Getafe
# 04 · 6 pts37%Champions League
1st
11%
UCL
37%
REL
4%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 36G
90% confidence
20W/ 36G
99% confidence
22W/ 36G
Athletic Club
# 05 · 6 pts30%Champions League
1st
8%
UCL
30%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 36G
90% confidence
20W/ 36G
99% confidence
22W/ 36G
Espanyol
# 06 · 4 pts21%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
21%
REL
9%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 36G
90% confidence
21W/ 36G
99% confidence
22W/ 36G
Real Betis
# 07 · 4 pts25%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
25%
REL
9%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 36G
90% confidence
21W/ 36G
99% confidence
22W/ 36G
Rayo Vallecano
# 08 · 3 pts25%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
25%
REL
11%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 36G
90% confidence
21W/ 36G
99% confidence
23W/ 36G
Alaves
# 09 · 3 pts20%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
20%
REL
13%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 36G
90% confidence
21W/ 36G
99% confidence
23W/ 36G
Osasuna
# 10 · 3 pts19%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
19%
REL
13%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 36G
90% confidence
21W/ 36G
99% confidence
23W/ 36G
Real Sociedad
# 11 · 2 pts18%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
18%
REL
14%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 36G
90% confidence
22W/ 36G
99% confidence
23W/ 36G
Elche
# 12 · 2 pts16%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
16%
REL
16%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 36G
90% confidence
22W/ 36G
99% confidence
23W/ 36G
Atletico Madrid
# 13 · 1 pts13%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
13%
REL
20%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 36G
90% confidence
22W/ 36G
99% confidence
23W/ 36G
Valencia
# 14 · 1 pts12%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
12%
REL
19%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 36G
90% confidence
22W/ 36G
99% confidence
23W/ 36G
Celta Vigo
# 15 · 1 pts11%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
11%
REL
22%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 36G
90% confidence
22W/ 36G
99% confidence
23W/ 36G
Mallorca
# 16 · 1 pts10%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
10%
REL
26%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 36G
90% confidence
22W/ 36G
99% confidence
23W/ 36G
Levante
# 17 · 0 pts11%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
11%
REL
21%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 36G
90% confidence
22W/ 36G
99% confidence
24W/ 36G
Sevilla
# 18 · 0 pts11%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
11%
REL
24%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 36G
90% confidence
22W/ 36G
99% confidence
24W/ 36G
Oviedo
# 19 · 0 pts8%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
8%
REL
29%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 36G
90% confidence
22W/ 36G
99% confidence
24W/ 36G
Girona
# 20 · 0 pts7%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
7%
REL
28%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 36G
90% confidence
22W/ 36G
99% confidence
24W/ 36G