Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 49 pts56%Champion
1st
56%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
14W/ 18G
90% confidence
14W/ 18G
99% confidence
15W/ 18G
Real Madrid
# 02 · 48 pts41%Champion
1st
41%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
14W/ 18G
90% confidence
15W/ 18G
99% confidence
16W/ 18G
Villarreal
# 03 · 44 pts99%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
99%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
9W/ 18G
90% confidence
10W/ 18G
99% confidence
11W/ 18G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 41 pts92%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
92%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
10W/ 18G
90% confidence
11W/ 18G
99% confidence
12W/ 18G
Espanyol
# 05 · 34 pts38%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8W/ 18G
90% confidence
8W/ 18G
99% confidence
9W/ 18G
Real Betis
# 06 · 32 pts67%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10W/ 18G
90% confidence
10W/ 18G
99% confidence
12W/ 18G
Celta Vigo
# 07 · 32 pts77%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
6%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10W/ 18G
90% confidence
10W/ 18G
99% confidence
12W/ 18G
Athletic Club
# 08 · 24 pts1%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
5%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11W/ 18G
90% confidence
12W/ 18G
99% confidence
13W/ 18G
Real Sociedad
# 09 · 24 pts12%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11W/ 18G
90% confidence
12W/ 18G
99% confidence
13W/ 18G
Girona
# 10 · 24 pts17%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
17%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 18G
90% confidence
5W/ 18G
99% confidence
6W/ 18G
Elche
# 11 · 24 pts13%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11W/ 18G
90% confidence
12W/ 18G
99% confidence
13W/ 18G
Osasuna
# 12 · 22 pts9%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
9%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 18G
90% confidence
6W/ 18G
99% confidence
7W/ 18G
Rayo Vallecano
# 13 · 22 pts18%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
18%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 18G
90% confidence
6W/ 18G
99% confidence
7W/ 18G
Sevilla
# 14 · 21 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
5%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12W/ 18G
90% confidence
13W/ 18G
99% confidence
14W/ 18G
Getafe
# 15 · 21 pts18%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
18%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 18G
90% confidence
6W/ 18G
99% confidence
7W/ 18G
Mallorca
# 16 · 21 pts13%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
13%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 18G
90% confidence
6W/ 18G
99% confidence
7W/ 18G
Valencia
# 17 · 20 pts27%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
27%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 18G
90% confidence
7W/ 18G
99% confidence
7W/ 18G
Alaves
# 18 · 19 pts21%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
21%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 18G
90% confidence
7W/ 18G
99% confidence
8W/ 18G
Levante
# 19 · 14 pts68%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
68%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 18G
90% confidence
9W/ 18G
99% confidence
9W/ 18G
Oviedo
# 20 · 13 pts99%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 18G
90% confidence
9W/ 18G
99% confidence
10W/ 18G