Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 52 pts56%Champion
1st
56%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
13W/ 17G
90% confidence
14W/ 17G
99% confidence
15W/ 17G
Real Madrid
# 02 · 51 pts43%Champion
1st
43%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
13W/ 17G
90% confidence
14W/ 17G
99% confidence
15W/ 17G
Villarreal
# 03 · 44 pts98%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
98%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
8W/ 17G
90% confidence
8W/ 17G
99% confidence
10W/ 17G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 44 pts99%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
99%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
8W/ 17G
90% confidence
8W/ 17G
99% confidence
10W/ 17G
Espanyol
# 05 · 34 pts30%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
8W/ 17G
90% confidence
9W/ 17G
99% confidence
10W/ 17G
Real Betis
# 06 · 32 pts66%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
9W/ 17G
90% confidence
10W/ 17G
99% confidence
11W/ 17G
Celta Vigo
# 07 · 32 pts66%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
9W/ 17G
90% confidence
10W/ 17G
99% confidence
11W/ 17G
Real Sociedad
# 08 · 27 pts23%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
11W/ 17G
90% confidence
11W/ 17G
99% confidence
12W/ 17G
Osasuna
# 09 · 25 pts6%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11W/ 17G
90% confidence
11W/ 17G
99% confidence
12W/ 17G
Girona
# 10 · 25 pts16%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
16%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 17G
90% confidence
5W/ 17G
99% confidence
6W/ 17G
Sevilla
# 11 · 24 pts5%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11W/ 17G
90% confidence
11W/ 17G
99% confidence
12W/ 17G
Athletic Club
# 12 · 24 pts1%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
12%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11W/ 17G
90% confidence
11W/ 17G
99% confidence
12W/ 17G
Elche
# 13 · 24 pts7%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11W/ 17G
90% confidence
11W/ 17G
99% confidence
12W/ 17G
Valencia
# 14 · 23 pts18%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
18%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 17G
90% confidence
6W/ 17G
99% confidence
6W/ 17G
Alaves
# 15 · 22 pts15%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
15%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 17G
90% confidence
6W/ 17G
99% confidence
7W/ 17G
Getafe
# 16 · 22 pts28%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
28%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 17G
90% confidence
6W/ 17G
99% confidence
7W/ 17G
Rayo Vallecano
# 17 · 22 pts49%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
49%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 17G
90% confidence
6W/ 17G
99% confidence
7W/ 17G
Mallorca
# 18 · 21 pts17%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
17%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 17G
90% confidence
7W/ 17G
99% confidence
7W/ 17G
Levante
# 19 · 17 pts39%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
39%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 17G
90% confidence
8W/ 17G
99% confidence
8W/ 17G
Oviedo
# 20 · 13 pts99%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 17G
90% confidence
9W/ 17G
99% confidence
10W/ 17G