Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 67 pts76%Champion
1st
76%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
8W/ 11G
90% confidence
8W/ 11G
99% confidence
9W/ 11G
Real Madrid
# 02 · 63 pts24%Champion
1st
24%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
9W/ 11G
90% confidence
10W/ 11G
99% confidence
11W/ 11G
Villarreal
# 03 · 54 pts98%Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
98%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
4W/ 11G
90% confidence
5W/ 11G
99% confidence
6W/ 11G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 54 pts98%Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
98%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
4W/ 11G
90% confidence
5W/ 11G
99% confidence
6W/ 11G
Real Betis
# 05 · 43 pts79%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
5W/ 11G
90% confidence
6W/ 11G
99% confidence
6W/ 11G
Celta Vigo
# 06 · 40 pts79%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
6W/ 11G
90% confidence
7W/ 11G
99% confidence
7W/ 11G
Espanyol
# 07 · 37 pts9%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6W/ 11G
90% confidence
6W/ 11G
99% confidence
7W/ 11G
Getafe
# 08 · 35 pts8%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7W/ 11G
90% confidence
7W/ 11G
99% confidence
8W/ 11G
Athletic Club
# 09 · 35 pts7%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7W/ 11G
90% confidence
7W/ 11G
99% confidence
8W/ 11G
Real Sociedad
# 10 · 35 pts31%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7W/ 11G
90% confidence
7W/ 11G
99% confidence
8W/ 11G
Osasuna
# 11 · 34 pts12%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7W/ 11G
90% confidence
7W/ 11G
99% confidence
8W/ 11G
Valencia
# 12 · 32 pts1%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
6%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8W/ 11G
90% confidence
8W/ 11G
99% confidence
9W/ 11G
Sevilla
# 13 · 31 pts16%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
16%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 11G
90% confidence
3W/ 11G
99% confidence
4W/ 11G
Rayo Vallecano
# 14 · 31 pts3%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8W/ 11G
90% confidence
8W/ 11G
99% confidence
9W/ 11G
Girona
# 15 · 31 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8W/ 11G
90% confidence
8W/ 11G
99% confidence
9W/ 11G
Alaves
# 16 · 27 pts32%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
32%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 11G
90% confidence
5W/ 11G
99% confidence
5W/ 11G
Elche
# 17 · 26 pts37%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
37%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 11G
90% confidence
5W/ 11G
99% confidence
6W/ 11G
Mallorca
# 18 · 25 pts24%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
24%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 11G
90% confidence
5W/ 11G
99% confidence
6W/ 11G
Levante
# 19 · 22 pts76%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
76%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 11G
90% confidence
6W/ 11G
99% confidence
7W/ 11G
Oviedo
# 20 · 18 pts99%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 11G
90% confidence
8W/ 11G
99% confidence
8W/ 11G