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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 70 pts
73%
Champion
1st
73%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 10G
Real Madrid
# 02 · 66 pts
27%
Champion
1st
27%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
8
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 10G
Atletico Madrid
# 03 · 57 pts
99%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 10G
Villarreal
# 04 · 55 pts
99%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
99%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 10G
Real Betis
# 05 · 44 pts
70%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
Celta Vigo
# 06 · 41 pts
76%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
Real Sociedad
# 07 · 38 pts
44%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 10G
Espanyol
# 08 · 37 pts
4%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
Getafe
# 09 · 35 pts
8%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 10G
Athletic Club
# 10 · 35 pts
2%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 10G
Osasuna
# 11 · 34 pts
9%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 10G
Girona
# 12 · 34 pts
5%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 10G
Valencia
# 13 · 32 pts
8%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
8%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 10G
Rayo Vallecano
# 14 · 32 pts
4%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 10G
Sevilla
# 15 · 31 pts
19%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
19%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 10G
Mallorca
# 16 · 28 pts
14%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
14%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 10G
Alaves
# 17 · 28 pts
39%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
39%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 10G
Elche
# 18 · 26 pts
40%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
40%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 10G
Levante
# 19 · 23 pts
77%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
77%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
Oviedo
# 20 · 21 pts
98%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
98%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 10G