Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 73 pts70%Champion
1st
70%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
6W/ 9G
90% confidence
9W/ 9G
99% confidence
9W/ 9G
Real Madrid
# 02 · 69 pts30%Champion
1st
30%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
8W/ 9G
90% confidence
9W/ 9G
99% confidence
—
Villarreal
# 03 · 58 pts99%Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
1W/ 9G
90% confidence
2W/ 9G
99% confidence
4W/ 9G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 57 pts99%Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
2W/ 9G
90% confidence
2W/ 9G
99% confidence
4W/ 9G
Real Betis
# 05 · 44 pts68%Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
5W/ 9G
90% confidence
5W/ 9G
99% confidence
6W/ 9G
Celta Vigo
# 06 · 41 pts65%Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
6W/ 9G
90% confidence
6W/ 9G
99% confidence
9W/ 9G
Getafe
# 07 · 38 pts15%Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6W/ 9G
90% confidence
6W/ 9G
99% confidence
9W/ 9G
Athletic Club
# 08 · 38 pts5%Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6W/ 9G
90% confidence
6W/ 9G
99% confidence
9W/ 9G
Real Sociedad
# 09 · 38 pts37%Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
7W/ 9G
90% confidence
7W/ 9G
99% confidence
9W/ 9G
Osasuna
# 10 · 37 pts14%Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6W/ 9G
90% confidence
9W/ 9G
99% confidence
9W/ 9G
Espanyol
# 11 · 37 pts2%Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6W/ 9G
90% confidence
9W/ 9G
99% confidence
9W/ 9G
Valencia
# 12 · 35 pts2%Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7W/ 9G
90% confidence
7W/ 9G
99% confidence
9W/ 9G
Girona
# 13 · 34 pts3%Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7W/ 9G
90% confidence
9W/ 9G
99% confidence
9W/ 9G
Rayo Vallecano
# 14 · 32 pts6%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
6%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 9G
90% confidence
3W/ 9G
99% confidence
4W/ 9G
Alaves
# 15 · 31 pts16%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
16%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 9G
90% confidence
3W/ 9G
99% confidence
4W/ 9G
Sevilla
# 16 · 31 pts41%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
41%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 9G
90% confidence
3W/ 9G
99% confidence
4W/ 9G
Elche
# 17 · 29 pts41%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
41%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 9G
90% confidence
4W/ 9G
99% confidence
6W/ 9G
Mallorca
# 18 · 28 pts32%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
32%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 9G
90% confidence
4W/ 9G
99% confidence
6W/ 9G
Levante
# 19 · 26 pts57%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
57%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 9G
90% confidence
5W/ 9G
99% confidence
6W/ 9G
Oviedo
# 20 · 21 pts99%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 9G
90% confidence
7W/ 9G
99% confidence
7W/ 9G