Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Real Madrid
# 01 · 9 pts44%Champions League
1st
13%
UCL
44%
REL
4%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 35G
90% confidence
19W/ 35G
99% confidence
20W/ 35G
Athletic Club
# 02 · 9 pts39%Champions League
1st
13%
UCL
39%
REL
3%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 35G
90% confidence
19W/ 35G
99% confidence
20W/ 35G
Villarreal
# 03 · 7 pts35%Champions League
1st
10%
UCL
35%
REL
4%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 35G
90% confidence
20W/ 35G
99% confidence
21W/ 35G
Barcelona
# 04 · 7 pts38%Champions League
1st
13%
UCL
38%
REL
3%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 35G
90% confidence
20W/ 35G
99% confidence
21W/ 35G
Espanyol
# 05 · 7 pts30%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
30%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 35G
90% confidence
20W/ 35G
99% confidence
21W/ 35G
Getafe
# 06 · 6 pts29%Champions League
1st
8%
UCL
29%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 35G
90% confidence
20W/ 35G
99% confidence
21W/ 35G
Elche
# 07 · 5 pts21%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
21%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
22W/ 35G
Valencia
# 08 · 4 pts19%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
19%
REL
13%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
22W/ 35G
Rayo Vallecano
# 09 · 4 pts21%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
21%
REL
11%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
22W/ 35G
Real Betis
# 10 · 4 pts17%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
17%
REL
13%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
22W/ 35G
Alaves
# 11 · 4 pts14%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
14%
REL
13%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
22W/ 35G
Sevilla
# 12 · 3 pts15%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
15%
REL
16%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
22W/ 35G
Osasuna
# 13 · 3 pts15%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
15%
REL
15%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
22W/ 35G
Oviedo
# 14 · 3 pts11%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
11%
REL
22%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
22W/ 35G
Real Sociedad
# 15 · 2 pts13%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
13%
REL
20%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
22W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Atletico Madrid
# 16 · 2 pts11%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
11%
REL
20%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
22W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Celta Vigo
# 17 · 2 pts12%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
12%
REL
21%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
22W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Mallorca
# 18 · 1 pts6%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
6%
REL
30%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
20W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
22W/ 35G
Levante
# 19 · 0 pts6%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
6%
REL
27%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
22W/ 35G
Girona
# 20 · 0 pts5%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
5%
REL
39%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 35G
90% confidence
22W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G