Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 76 pts94%Champion
1st
94%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
5W/ 8G
90% confidence
5W/ 8G
99% confidence
6W/ 8G
Real Madrid
# 02 · 69 pts6%Champion
1st
6%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Villarreal
# 03 · 58 pts99%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
2W/ 9G
90% confidence
2W/ 9G
99% confidence
4W/ 9G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 57 pts98%Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
98%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
2W/ 8G
90% confidence
4W/ 8G
99% confidence
4W/ 8G
Real Betis
# 05 · 45 pts58%Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
5W/ 8G
90% confidence
5W/ 8G
99% confidence
6W/ 8G
Celta Vigo
# 06 · 44 pts71%Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
5W/ 8G
90% confidence
5W/ 8G
99% confidence
6W/ 8G
Getafe
# 07 · 41 pts18%Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
5W/ 8G
90% confidence
6W/ 8G
99% confidence
6W/ 8G
Real Sociedad
# 08 · 41 pts41%Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
6W/ 8G
90% confidence
6W/ 8G
99% confidence
8W/ 8G
Athletic Club
# 09 · 38 pts2%Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6W/ 8G
90% confidence
8W/ 8G
99% confidence
8W/ 8G
Osasuna
# 10 · 38 pts11%Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6W/ 8G
90% confidence
8W/ 8G
99% confidence
8W/ 8G
Espanyol
# 11 · 38 pts2%Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6W/ 8G
90% confidence
8W/ 8G
99% confidence
8W/ 8G
Valencia
# 12 · 35 pts1%Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7W/ 8G
90% confidence
8W/ 8G
99% confidence
8W/ 8G
Rayo Vallecano
# 13 · 35 pts3%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2W/ 8G
90% confidence
2W/ 8G
99% confidence
4W/ 8G
Girona
# 14 · 34 pts4%Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
2%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8W/ 9G
90% confidence
8W/ 9G
99% confidence
9W/ 9G
Alaves
# 15 · 32 pts17%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
17%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 8G
90% confidence
3W/ 8G
99% confidence
4W/ 8G
Mallorca
# 16 · 31 pts11%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
11%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 8G
90% confidence
3W/ 8G
99% confidence
4W/ 8G
Sevilla
# 17 · 31 pts48%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
48%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 8G
90% confidence
3W/ 8G
99% confidence
4W/ 8G
Elche
# 18 · 29 pts46%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
46%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 8G
90% confidence
4W/ 8G
99% confidence
8W/ 8G
Levante
# 19 · 26 pts70%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
70%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 8G
90% confidence
5W/ 8G
99% confidence
6W/ 8G
Oviedo
# 20 · 24 pts97%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
97%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 8G
90% confidence
6W/ 8G
99% confidence
6W/ 8G