Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Real Madrid
# 01 · 15 pts60%Champions League
1st
25%
UCL
60%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17W/ 33G
90% confidence
18W/ 33G
99% confidence
19W/ 33G
Barcelona
# 02 · 13 pts60%Champions League
1st
22%
UCL
60%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 33G
90% confidence
18W/ 33G
99% confidence
19W/ 33G
Villarreal
# 03 · 10 pts29%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
29%
REL
4%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 33G
90% confidence
19W/ 33G
99% confidence
20W/ 33G
Espanyol
# 04 · 10 pts30%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
30%
REL
5%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 33G
90% confidence
19W/ 33G
99% confidence
20W/ 33G
Athletic Club
# 05 · 9 pts22%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
22%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 33G
90% confidence
20W/ 33G
99% confidence
21W/ 33G
Getafe
# 06 · 9 pts24%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
24%
REL
6%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 33G
90% confidence
20W/ 33G
99% confidence
21W/ 33G
Elche
# 07 · 9 pts26%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
26%
REL
6%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 33G
90% confidence
20W/ 33G
99% confidence
21W/ 33G
Real Betis
# 08 · 8 pts20%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
20%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 33G
90% confidence
20W/ 33G
99% confidence
21W/ 33G
Sevilla
# 09 · 7 pts20%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
20%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 33G
90% confidence
20W/ 33G
99% confidence
21W/ 33G
Alaves
# 10 · 7 pts16%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
16%
REL
12%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 33G
90% confidence
20W/ 33G
99% confidence
21W/ 33G
Valencia
# 11 · 7 pts17%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
17%
REL
11%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 33G
90% confidence
20W/ 33G
99% confidence
21W/ 33G
Osasuna
# 12 · 6 pts15%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
15%
REL
12%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 33G
90% confidence
21W/ 33G
99% confidence
22W/ 33G
Atletico Madrid
# 13 · 6 pts14%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
14%
REL
12%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 33G
90% confidence
21W/ 33G
99% confidence
22W/ 33G
Rayo Vallecano
# 14 · 5 pts13%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
13%
REL
16%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 33G
90% confidence
21W/ 33G
99% confidence
22W/ 33G
Levante
# 15 · 4 pts11%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
11%
REL
18%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 33G
90% confidence
21W/ 33G
99% confidence
22W/ 33G
Celta Vigo
# 16 · 4 pts8%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
8%
REL
25%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 33G
90% confidence
21W/ 33G
99% confidence
22W/ 33G
Oviedo
# 17 · 3 pts5%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
5%
REL
30%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 33G
90% confidence
22W/ 33G
99% confidence
23W/ 33G
Real Sociedad
# 18 · 2 pts5%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
5%
REL
33%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
20W/ 33G
90% confidence
21W/ 33G
99% confidence
21W/ 33G
Mallorca
# 19 · 2 pts5%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
5%
REL
33%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 33G
90% confidence
22W/ 33G
99% confidence
23W/ 33G
Girona
# 20 · 1 pts2%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
2%
REL
52%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
20W/ 33G
90% confidence
21W/ 33G
99% confidence
22W/ 33G