Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Real Madrid
# 01 · 21 pts72%Champions League
1st
29%
UCL
72%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15W/ 30G
90% confidence
16W/ 30G
99% confidence
17W/ 30G
Barcelona
# 02 · 19 pts79%Champions League
1st
38%
UCL
79%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16W/ 30G
90% confidence
16W/ 30G
99% confidence
17W/ 30G
Villarreal
# 03 · 16 pts36%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
36%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17W/ 30G
90% confidence
17W/ 30G
99% confidence
18W/ 30G
Real Betis
# 04 · 15 pts35%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
35%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
19W/ 30G
Sevilla
# 05 · 13 pts27%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
27%
REL
4%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
19W/ 30G
Athletic Club
# 06 · 13 pts14%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
14%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
19W/ 30G
Atletico Madrid
# 07 · 13 pts24%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
24%
REL
3%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
19W/ 30G
Elche
# 08 · 13 pts21%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
21%
REL
5%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
19W/ 30G
Espanyol
# 09 · 12 pts12%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
12%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
19W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Alaves
# 10 · 11 pts14%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
14%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
19W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Getafe
# 11 · 11 pts15%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
15%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
19W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Osasuna
# 12 · 10 pts15%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
15%
REL
11%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 30G
90% confidence
19W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Levante
# 13 · 8 pts13%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
12%
REL
8%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
19W/ 30G
Rayo Vallecano
# 14 · 8 pts9%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
9%
REL
14%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
19W/ 30G
Valencia
# 15 · 8 pts6%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
6%
REL
22%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
19W/ 30G
Oviedo
# 16 · 6 pts3%Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
35%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 30G
90% confidence
21W/ 30G
99% confidence
22W/ 30G
Girona
# 17 · 6 pts53%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
53%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12W/ 30G
90% confidence
13W/ 30G
99% confidence
13W/ 30G
Celta Vigo
# 18 · 6 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
42%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
19W/ 30G
Real Sociedad
# 19 · 5 pts3%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
3%
REL
34%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
19W/ 30G
90% confidence
19W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Mallorca
# 20 · 5 pts3%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
3%
REL
34%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
19W/ 30G
90% confidence
19W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G