Premier League · 2025 · # 03
Aston Villa
Pts
55
MP
32
W
16
GD
+5
What does the team need?
Primary Objective
Champions League
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.75% confidence
3Wins
90% confidence
6Wins
99% confidence
6Wins
Europa League
Wins needed to qualify for the Europa League.22%
2Wins
75% confidenceEscape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.✓
✓
75% confidenceProbFut AI Analysis
Aston Villa drew 1-1 at Nottingham Forest, a result that nudged their Champions League probability from 74% to 68% and extended a run of just 1 win in their last 5 games. They sit 3rd on 55 points — level with Manchester United in 4th — and the models say 3 wins from 6 remaining is the 75% path to a top-4 spot, though a perfect 6 would be needed to reach 90% certainty. Sunday's home fixture against Sunderland on Apr 19 is exactly the kind of winnable game they need to bank 3 points and arrest the slow drift.
Remaining Fixtures
| RD | Opponent | W / D / L | Exp. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 |  Sunderland (SUN) | 1.69 | |
| 34 |  Fulham (FUL) | 1.28 | |
| 35 |  Tottenham (TOT) | 1.93 | |
| 36 |  Burnley (BUR) | 1.67 | |
| 37 |  Liverpool (LIV) | 1.57 |