Serie A · 2025 · # 17
Lecce
Pts
27
MP
32
W
7
GD
-24
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.33%
Probability — Lecce
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
2Wins/ 6
90% confidence
3Wins/ 6
99% confidence
6Wins/ 6
ProbFut AI Analysis
A 2-0 defeat at Bologna in Round 32 extended Lecce's grim run to 4 losses in their last 5 matches, and their relegation probability has risen to 33% — up from 29% a week ago. Level on points with 18th-place Cremonese but separated only by a better goal difference, the models say they need 2 wins from their remaining 6 games to feel safe at the 75th-percentile threshold. Monday's home match against Fiorentina on April 20 is the first chance to break that run — Fiorentina have nothing to fight for and may offer a softer test.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Lecce's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Lecce has a 33.5% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Lecce need for Escape Relegation?
Lecce needs 3 wins in 6 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.