Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 02
Flamengo
Pts
20
MP
10
W
6
GD
+8
What does the team need?
Primary Objective
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.75% confidence
16Wins
90% confidence
17Wins
99% confidence
21Wins
Libertadores Playoff
Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.16%
14Wins
75% confidenceSulamericana
Wins needed to qualify for the Sulamericana.25%
10Wins
75% confidenceProbFut AI Analysis
Flamengo produced their best probability result of the season, winning 2-1 away at Fluminense in the Fla-Flu derby to push their Libertadores direct chance from 37% to 50% — the single largest jump among any team this round. Their title probability also rose to 14%, though the more realistic prize is a top-4 finish: at 75% confidence they need 16 wins from their 28 remaining games. They host Mirassol next in their postponed Round 4 fixture on Wednesday, a favorable opportunity to keep the momentum going.
Remaining Fixtures
| RD | Opponent | W / D / L | Exp. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |  Bahia (BAH) | 1.65 | |
| 13 |  Atletico-MG (GAL) | 1.31 | |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama (VAS) | 1.77 | |
| 15 |  Gremio (GRE) | 1.33 | |
| 16 |  Atletico Paranaense (CAP) | 1.27 |