Palmeiras

Palmeiras remain the clear frontrunners after 11 rounds, and even a goalless draw away at Corinthians was enough to push their title probability up 3 points to 47% — results elsewhere fell in their favor. Their Libertadores direct probability stands at 85%, and to give themselves a 75% chance of winning the title they need 19 wins from their remaining 27 games — a demanding pace, but their record of 8W 2D 1L suggests they have the quality to sustain it. Next up is Atletico Paranaense at home on Sunday, a side coming off a win of their own this round.