Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 15
Santos
Pts
13
MP
11
W
3
GD
-2
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.22%
Probability — Santos
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 27
90% confidence
10Wins/ 27
99% confidence
11Wins/ 27
ProbFut AI Analysis
Santos picked up a valuable 1-0 home win over Atletico-MG this round, trimming their relegation risk from 26% to 22% — still a concern for a side sitting 15th on 13 points with a -2 goal difference. The 6% Libertadores probability is marginal; the real focus is accumulating enough wins (10 from 27 remaining at 75% confidence) to build a meaningful buffer above the drop. They host Fluminense on Sunday in a match where both sides need a positive result.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Santos's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Santos has a 21.7% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Santos need for Escape Relegation?
Santos needs 10 wins in 27 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.