Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 03
Sao Paulo
Pts
20
MP
11
W
6
GD
+6
What does the team need?
Primary Objective
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.75% confidence
16Wins
90% confidence
20Wins
99% confidence
20Wins
Libertadores Playoff
Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.18%
14Wins
75% confidenceSulamericana
Wins needed to qualify for the Sulamericana.23%
10Wins
75% confidenceProbFut AI Analysis
São Paulo suffered a damaging 2-0 defeat away at Vitoria this round, dropping their title chance from 16% to 11% and their Libertadores direct probability from 61% to 55%. They remain 3rd on 20 points — level with several rivals below them in goal difference — but 3 defeats in their last 5 games is a concern for a side with top-4 ambitions. To hold a direct Libertadores spot at 75% confidence they need 16 wins from 27 remaining; they travel to Vasco DA Gama on Saturday looking to respond.
Remaining Fixtures
| RD | Opponent | W / D / L | Exp. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |  Vasco DA Gama (VAS) | 1.29 | |
| 13 |  Mirassol (MIR) | 1.83 | |
| 14 |  Bahia (BAH) | 1.60 | |
| 15 |  Corinthians (COR) | 1.34 | |
| 16 |  Fluminense (FLU) | 1.18 |