Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro won 2-1 at home against RB Bragantino this round, but even that result barely moves the needle on a 55% relegation probability — joint-worst in the league alongside Remo and Mirassol. A -7 goal difference and just 2 wins in 11 games reflects a team in deep trouble; to have a 75% chance of survival they need 11 wins from 27 remaining, a level of sustained performance they've shown no sign of producing. They host Gremio on Saturday — 2 sides separated by 3 points and a great deal of anxiety.