
Pts
13
MP
11
W
3
GD
-1
Primary Objective
Vasco DA Gama drew 1-1 away at Remo this round, leaving them 13th on 13 points with a 21% relegation probability — the highest of any team outside the bottom 3. Their record of 3W 4D 4L shows limited upward momentum, and at 8% for a Libertadores direct spot, staying clear of the drop is the realistic priority: the simulations say 10 wins from 27 remaining to be safe at 75% confidence. They host São Paulo on Saturday, a game that carries weight for both sides in different ways.
| RD | Opponent | W / D / L | Exp. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.48 | ||
| 13 | 1.23 | ||
| 14 | 1.02 | ||
| 15 | 1.52 | ||
| 16 | 1.19 |